{
  "season": "2025-26",
  "gw": 9,
  "title": "Gameweek 9 reconstructive replay",
  "deadline": "2025-10-24T17:30:00Z",
  "status": "completed",
  "datasetKind": "historical-replay",
  "provenance": {
    "modelVersion": "live_faithful_option_value",
    "frozenAt": "2025-10-24T17:30:00Z",
    "snapshotHash": "sha256:83312c516cbda94b34a92fcc7d0be780119ca21d5b1fe2450cfc58976c6a9617",
    "datasetId": "fpl-lab-2025-26-gw9-replay",
    "solverEngine": "FPL lab reconstructive replay",
    "executionTimestamp": "2025-10-24T17:30:00Z",
    "solverParameters": {
      "horizonWeeks": 5,
      "decayRate": 0.85,
      "hitPenalty": 4,
      "riskAversion": 0.15,
      "freeTransferConservationWeight": 0.8,
      "maxPlayersPerClub": 3,
      "teamBudgetCap": 100
    },
    "isDemoSample": false,
    "datasetKind": "historical-replay",
    "limitations": [
      "Fixtures come from the final season export, so mid-season revisions are not in this snapshot.",
      "The cutoff is reconstructed as first kickoff minus 90 minutes, not the live FPL deadline clock.",
      "No private manager state (exact bank, selling prices, chip timing) was archived at the time.",
      "Press and injury notes were not locked before the deadline.",
      "Prices are not exact pre-deadline quotes.",
      "Raw community xP tables were not used as the pre-deadline forecast."
    ]
  },
  "validatedPlan": {
    "armId": "optimiser",
    "armName": "Optimiser (forecast)",
    "formation": "3-5-2",
    "bank": 2,
    "hitCost": 0,
    "freeTransfersAvailable": 3,
    "chipUsed": "none",
    "captain": {
      "id": "player:2025-26:381",
      "webName": "M.Salah",
      "fullName": "Mohamed Salah",
      "team": "LIV",
      "position": "MID",
      "cost": 14,
      "projectedMinutes": 87.6,
      "expectedPoints": 7.52,
      "realisedPoints": 6,
      "opponent": "BRE (A)",
      "isHome": false,
      "fixtureDifficulty": 3,
      "selectedByPercent": 15.2,
      "isCaptain": true,
      "multiplier": 2
    },
    "viceCaptain": {
      "id": "player:2025-26:82",
      "webName": "Semenyo",
      "fullName": "Antoine Semenyo",
      "team": "BOU",
      "position": "MID",
      "cost": 8,
      "projectedMinutes": 87.5,
      "expectedPoints": 6.57,
      "realisedPoints": 3,
      "opponent": "NFO (H)",
      "isHome": true,
      "fixtureDifficulty": 3,
      "selectedByPercent": 46.2,
      "isViceCaptain": true
    },
    "startingXI": [
      {
        "id": "player:2025-26:220",
        "webName": "Sánchez",
        "fullName": "Robert Lynch Sánchez",
        "team": "CHE",
        "position": "GKP",
        "cost": 4.8,
        "projectedMinutes": 87.5,
        "expectedPoints": 3.93,
        "realisedPoints": 1,
        "opponent": "SUN (H)",
        "isHome": true,
        "fixtureDifficulty": 2,
        "selectedByPercent": 10.3
      },
      {
        "id": "player:2025-26:5",
        "webName": "Gabriel",
        "fullName": "Gabriel dos Santos Magalhães",
        "team": "ARS",
        "position": "DEF",
        "cost": 7.3,
        "projectedMinutes": 85,
        "expectedPoints": 5.61,
        "realisedPoints": 9,
        "opponent": "CRY (H)",
        "isHome": true,
        "fixtureDifficulty": 3,
        "selectedByPercent": 45.4
      },
      {
        "id": "player:2025-26:8",
        "webName": "J.Timber",
        "fullName": "Jurriën Timber",
        "team": "ARS",
        "position": "DEF",
        "cost": 6,
        "projectedMinutes": 81.9,
        "expectedPoints": 5.37,
        "realisedPoints": 6,
        "opponent": "CRY (H)",
        "isHome": true,
        "fixtureDifficulty": 3,
        "selectedByPercent": 15.2
      },
      {
        "id": "player:2025-26:72",
        "webName": "Senesi",
        "fullName": "Marcos Senesi Barón",
        "team": "BOU",
        "position": "DEF",
        "cost": 5.2,
        "projectedMinutes": 79.1,
        "expectedPoints": 3.69,
        "realisedPoints": 5,
        "opponent": "NFO (H)",
        "isHome": true,
        "fixtureDifficulty": 3,
        "selectedByPercent": 22
      },
      {
        "id": "player:2025-26:381",
        "webName": "M.Salah",
        "fullName": "Mohamed Salah",
        "team": "LIV",
        "position": "MID",
        "cost": 14,
        "projectedMinutes": 87.6,
        "expectedPoints": 7.52,
        "realisedPoints": 6,
        "opponent": "BRE (A)",
        "isHome": false,
        "fixtureDifficulty": 3,
        "selectedByPercent": 15.2,
        "isCaptain": true,
        "multiplier": 2
      },
      {
        "id": "player:2025-26:82",
        "webName": "Semenyo",
        "fullName": "Antoine Semenyo",
        "team": "BOU",
        "position": "MID",
        "cost": 8,
        "projectedMinutes": 87.5,
        "expectedPoints": 6.57,
        "realisedPoints": 3,
        "opponent": "NFO (H)",
        "isHome": true,
        "fixtureDifficulty": 3,
        "selectedByPercent": 46.2,
        "isViceCaptain": true
      },
      {
        "id": "player:2025-26:384",
        "webName": "Gakpo",
        "fullName": "Cody Gakpo",
        "team": "LIV",
        "position": "MID",
        "cost": 7.3,
        "projectedMinutes": 72.3,
        "expectedPoints": 4.8,
        "realisedPoints": 2,
        "opponent": "BRE (A)",
        "isHome": false,
        "fixtureDifficulty": 3,
        "selectedByPercent": 5.6
      },
      {
        "id": "player:2025-26:387",
        "webName": "Szoboszlai",
        "fullName": "Dominik Szoboszlai",
        "team": "LIV",
        "position": "MID",
        "cost": 7.1,
        "projectedMinutes": 82.5,
        "expectedPoints": 4.5,
        "realisedPoints": 10,
        "opponent": "BRE (A)",
        "isHome": false,
        "fixtureDifficulty": 3,
        "selectedByPercent": 15.1
      },
      {
        "id": "player:2025-26:427",
        "webName": "Reijnders",
        "fullName": "Tijjani Reijnders",
        "team": "MCI",
        "position": "MID",
        "cost": 5,
        "projectedMinutes": 71.4,
        "expectedPoints": 3.64,
        "realisedPoints": 1,
        "opponent": "AVL (A)",
        "isHome": false,
        "fixtureDifficulty": 4,
        "selectedByPercent": 8.9
      },
      {
        "id": "player:2025-26:249",
        "webName": "João Pedro",
        "fullName": "João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus",
        "team": "CHE",
        "position": "FWD",
        "cost": 7.4,
        "projectedMinutes": 79.6,
        "expectedPoints": 5.52,
        "realisedPoints": 2,
        "opponent": "SUN (H)",
        "isHome": true,
        "fixtureDifficulty": 2,
        "selectedByPercent": 34.8
      },
      {
        "id": "player:2025-26:64",
        "webName": "Watkins",
        "fullName": "Ollie Watkins",
        "team": "AVL",
        "position": "FWD",
        "cost": 8.7,
        "projectedMinutes": 65.1,
        "expectedPoints": 3.69,
        "realisedPoints": 2,
        "opponent": "MCI (H)",
        "isHome": true,
        "fixtureDifficulty": 4,
        "selectedByPercent": 13
      }
    ],
    "bench": [
      {
        "id": "player:2025-26:470",
        "webName": "Dúbravka",
        "fullName": "Martin Dúbravka",
        "team": "BUR",
        "position": "GKP",
        "cost": 4,
        "projectedMinutes": 83.9,
        "expectedPoints": 3.46,
        "realisedPoints": 2,
        "opponent": "WOL (A)",
        "isHome": false,
        "fixtureDifficulty": 2,
        "selectedByPercent": 25.7,
        "benchOrder": 1
      },
      {
        "id": "player:2025-26:348",
        "webName": "Rodon",
        "fullName": "Joe Rodon",
        "team": "LEE",
        "position": "DEF",
        "cost": 3.9,
        "projectedMinutes": 82.4,
        "expectedPoints": 3.14,
        "realisedPoints": 13,
        "opponent": "WHU (H)",
        "isHome": true,
        "fixtureDifficulty": 2,
        "selectedByPercent": 3,
        "benchOrder": 2
      },
      {
        "id": "player:2025-26:568",
        "webName": "Pedro Porro",
        "fullName": "Pedro Porro Sauceda",
        "team": "TOT",
        "position": "DEF",
        "cost": 5.2,
        "projectedMinutes": 72.1,
        "expectedPoints": 2.68,
        "realisedPoints": 11,
        "opponent": "EVE (A)",
        "isHome": false,
        "fixtureDifficulty": 3,
        "selectedByPercent": 11.7,
        "benchOrder": 3
      },
      {
        "id": "player:2025-26:252",
        "webName": "Marc Guiu",
        "fullName": "Marc Guiu Paz",
        "team": "CHE",
        "position": "FWD",
        "cost": 4,
        "projectedMinutes": 15.4,
        "expectedPoints": 0.97,
        "realisedPoints": 2,
        "opponent": "SUN (H)",
        "isHome": true,
        "fixtureDifficulty": 2,
        "selectedByPercent": 5.2,
        "benchOrder": 4
      }
    ],
    "transfersIn": [],
    "transfersOut": [],
    "transferActions": [],
    "projectedSquadTotalXP": 67.8,
    "realisedSquadTotalPoints": 53
  },
  "arms": [
    {
      "id": "baseline",
      "name": "Template (roll transfers)",
      "shortLabel": "Template",
      "category": "Heuristic",
      "description": "No transfers",
      "objectiveEP": 60,
      "realisedPoints": 54,
      "varianceScore": 0,
      "transfersCount": 0,
      "hits": 0,
      "captain": "M.Salah",
      "viceCaptain": "João Pedro",
      "chip": "none",
      "formation": "4-4-2",
      "decisionDeltaVsBaseline": 0,
      "realisedRankEffect": "54 pts net",
      "solverRuntimeMs": 0
    },
    {
      "id": "optimiser",
      "name": "Optimiser (forecast)",
      "shortLabel": "Optimiser",
      "category": "Mixed-Integer Linear (ILP)",
      "description": "No transfers",
      "objectiveEP": 67.8,
      "realisedPoints": 53,
      "varianceScore": 0,
      "transfersCount": 0,
      "hits": 0,
      "captain": "M.Salah",
      "viceCaptain": "Semenyo",
      "chip": "none",
      "formation": "3-5-2",
      "decisionDeltaVsBaseline": -1,
      "realisedRankEffect": "53 pts net",
      "solverRuntimeMs": 0
    },
    {
      "id": "agent",
      "name": "Evidence-informed",
      "shortLabel": "Evidence",
      "category": "Multi-Objective Agent",
      "description": "No transfers",
      "objectiveEP": 67.8,
      "realisedPoints": 53,
      "varianceScore": 0,
      "transfersCount": 0,
      "hits": 0,
      "captain": "M.Salah",
      "viceCaptain": "Semenyo",
      "chip": "none",
      "formation": "3-5-2",
      "decisionDeltaVsBaseline": -1,
      "realisedRankEffect": "53 pts net",
      "solverRuntimeMs": 0
    }
  ],
  "summaryAnalysis": {
    "executiveSummary": "Reconstructive replay for 2025/26 Gameweek 9. The optimiser captained M.Salah (vice Semenyo), formation 3-5-2, and made no transfers. It scored 53 net points after hits. Pre-cutoff objective was 67.8 expected points.",
    "keyTradeoffs": [
      "The optimiser held the squad this week.",
      "Evidence-informed finished +0 points versus the optimiser this week.",
      "Fixtures come from the final season export, so mid-season revisions are not in this snapshot.",
      "The cutoff is reconstructed as first kickoff minus 90 minutes, not the live FPL deadline clock.",
      "No private manager state (exact bank, selling prices, chip timing) was archived at the time."
    ],
    "shadowPrices": {
      "budgetPerMillionXP": 0,
      "transferMarginalValueXP": 0,
      "benchPointsExpectancy": 0
    },
    "divergenceNotes": "This is a reconstructive historical replay, not a live two-hour freeze. Inputs were rebuilt after the season; see Methods and the limitations on this page."
  }
}